Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
