MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:13:23| >> :600:1134894:1134894:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Poland national football team

Scotland
2 - 3
Poland

Gilmour (46'), McTominay (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Szymanski (8'), Lewandowski (44' pen.), Zalewski (90+7' pen.)
Dawidowicz (35'), Zalewski (52'), Slisz (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 0-1 Hungary
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: France 1-1 Poland
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship

We said: Scotland 0-1 Poland

 With key players injured or short of fitness - notably Napoli pair Billy Gilmour and Scott McTominay - Scotland could have a tough time reversing their recent slump. Although Poland are similarly short in certain areas, they do possess a lethal finisher and can match their hosts' work rate, so the Eagles may leave Glasgow with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Poland had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawPoland
39.23% (-1.437 -1.44) 27.03% (0.182 0.18) 33.74% (1.259 1.26)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (-0.453 -0.45)54.69% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-0.377 -0.38)76.01% (0.381 0.38)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.997 -1)27.21% (1.002 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-1.319 -1.32)62.63% (1.323 1.32)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.61099999999999 0.61)30.53% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.715 0.71)66.75% (-0.712 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 39.23%
    Poland 33.74%
    Draw 27.02%
ScotlandDrawPoland
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.335 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.293 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.74%

How you voted: Scotland vs Poland

Scotland
22.3%
Draw
20.7%
Poland
57.0%
193
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Scotland
1-1
Poland
Tierney (68')
Piatek (90+4' pen.)
Reca (70')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Scotland
2-2
Poland
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-2
Scotland
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Scotland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!