Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.