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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 0
Newry City AFC

Place (19' pen.), Gibson (52'), McDaid (88')
Place (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carville (25'), Lockhart (51'), Forde (56')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Ballymena
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Newry City AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
37.03% (0.381 0.38) 25.38% (-0.386 -0.39) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.39% (1.362 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (1.738 1.74)47.41% (-1.736 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (1.588 1.59)69.63% (-1.586 -1.59)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (1.022 1.02)25.05% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (1.39 1.39)59.73% (-1.389 -1.39)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.804 0.8)24.75% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (1.106 1.11)59.31% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 37.03%
    Newry City AFC 37.58%
    Draw 25.38%
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.431 -0.43)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.58%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-1
Newry City AFC
Friel (55'), Mayse (67'), Lecky (81')
McCabe (63')
Carville (68')
Nov 23, 2018 8pm
Newry City AFC
1-2
Ballymena
Montgomery (68')
Coleman (61')
Lecky (36'), McGrory (44')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Newry City AFC
Millar (11'), Lecky (63'), McGrory (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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