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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
0 - 1
Larne


Cherry (48'), Cushley (67'), McGuckin (70'), McKiernan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gordon (79')
Randall (24')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Larne
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
18.82% (-2.458 -2.46) 22.58% (-1.379 -1.38) 58.6% (3.846 3.85)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.429 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (2.515 2.52)47.6% (-2.507 -2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (2.28 2.28)69.8% (-2.272 -2.27)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-1.159 -1.16)39.25% (1.167 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-1.104 -1.1)75.96% (1.112 1.11)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (2.274 2.27)15.92% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (4.016 4.02)45.17% (-4.009 -4.01)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 18.82%
    Larne 58.59%
    Draw 22.57%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.842 -0.84)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.82%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.678 -0.68)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 10.55% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.46% (0.746 0.75)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.525 0.52)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.533 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.425 0.43)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.163 0.16)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.26 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.219 0.22)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.59%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Oluwya (38'), Mitchell (65')

Surgenor (65')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-0
Carrick
Lynch (14', 37'), Mitchell (35' pen.)
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Mitchell (11' pen.), Herron (34'), McKendry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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