Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.