Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.