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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Loughgall

Lowry (21'), Franklin (44'), Stewart (58')
Lowry (28'), Stewart (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Norton (58')
Kelly (60'), Francis (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Crusaders
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLoughgall
61.84% (-0.055 -0.05) 20.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 17.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)38.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)60.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)12.02% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.49% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (0.030999999999999 0.03)71.73% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 61.84%
    Loughgall 17.91%
    Draw 20.25%
CrusadersDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68%
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.91%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Loughgall
0-4
Crusaders

Kerr (15'), McCloskey (34'), Kelly (78')
O'Rourke (76'), Clarke (85'), Forsythe (89' pen.), Nixon (90+1')
O'Rourke (34'), Offord (52'), Offord (53'), Clarke (78')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Loughgall
0-1
Crusaders

Rea (27')
Lowry (51')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Loughgall
1-2
Crusaders
Cavalcante (73')
Loughran (61')
Clarke (62'), Heatley (90+3')
Smith (13')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crusaders
1-1
Loughgall
Heatley (75')
Winchester (8')
Magee (85')
Brogan (17'), Hoey (70')
Duke (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18122435161938
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1894527171031
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon199372623330
4PortadownPortadown188462519628
5GlentoranGlentoran198472118328
6CrusadersCrusaders178362220227
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena189092222027
8ColeraineColeraine197573227526
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1853102030-1018
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall1933132048-2812


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