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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 1
Crusaders

O'Mahony (50'), Campbell (74'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Singleton (68'), Campbell (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowry (3')
Ruddy (16'), Forsythe (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
31.6%24.41%43.99%
Both teams to score 58.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87%44.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49%66.51%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3%26.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04%61.96%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5%52.5%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 31.6%
    Crusaders 43.99%
    Draw 24.41%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 7.52%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.6%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-1 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Glenavon
2-1
Crusaders
Daniels (67'), McCloskey (86')
Heatley (42')
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 13
Glenavon
2-2
Crusaders
Jenkins (61'), Murray (85')
McGonigle (43'), McElroy (91')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crusaders
3-2
Glenavon
Heatley (13'), Lowry (54'), Cushley (79' pen.)
Marshall (1'), Mitchell (69' pen.)
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Glenavon
2-1
Crusaders
Murray (90'), Clingan (94' pen.)
Owens (47')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Crusaders
1-1
Glenavon
Cushley (43')
Daniels (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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