Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.