Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.