MX23RW : Monday, December 23 06:37:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Magee (48', 65', 90+2')
Kelly (76'), Boyd (83'), Loughran (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salley (52')
Forde (31'), Salley (36'), Maguire (72'), Poynton (76'), McKeown (83'), Poynton (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
53.81% (0.37 0.37) 21.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.209 0.21)37.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.22600000000001 0.23)59.29% (-0.225 -0.23)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.188 0.19)13.88% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (0.372 0.37)41.29% (-0.372 -0.37)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)28.12% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.119 -0.12)63.79% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 53.81%
    Newry City AFC 24.39%
    Draw 21.81%
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newry City AFC
0-3
Loughgall

King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Loughran (60'), Hoey (62'), Murdock (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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