Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.