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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 6pm UK
Mata Real
Vizela

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Vizela

Santos (42'), Djalo (64')
Pires (23'), Delgado (39'), Djalo (53'), de Brito Gonzaga (63'), Antunes (72'), Carlos (76'), Ferreira (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (24')
Samu (45+3'), Claudemir (69'), Schettine (90+5')
Cassiano (8'), Samu (85')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Vizela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides separated by just two points and two places in the bottom half of the Primeira Liga standings square off on Saturday as Pacos de Ferreira play host to Vizela at the Estadio Capital do Movel.

The Vizelenses will head into the game seeking to get one over the hosts having failed to win any of the last five meetings between the sides since 2008.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira's Denilson Pereira Junior is shown a red card by referee Vitor Ferreira on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira continue to search for their first win of the year as they fell to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Braga after bottling their lead in the closing 23 minutes of the game.

In a thrilling contest at the Estadio Braga Municipal, Vitorino Antunes scored on the stroke of half time to put the visitors ahead, but Portuguese forward Ricardo Horta put on a clinic after the interval as he struck twice to turn the tie around.

Cesar Peixoto's side have now failed to taste victory in any of their most recent six games — claiming four draws and losing two in that time — while they have managed just two wins from their last 16 across all competitions.

This poor run of results has seen Pacos de Ferreira drop to 13th place in the Primeira Liga standings, level with Boavista after claiming 21 points from 22 outings.

Their lack of cutting edge at the attacking end of the pitch has been a major factor in their struggles this season as they boast the league's second-worst record with 16 goals scored so far — only ahead of Belenenses who have scored 14.

Meanwhile, Vizela failed to return to winning ways last time out when they suffered a slender 1-0 defeat against Gil Vincente at the Estadio do FC Vizela.

Spanish forward Fran Navarro delivered the goods once again as he struck his 12th goal of the season from the penalty spot in the 27th minute to hand the Gilistas all three points.

For Vizela, this followed a thrilling 2-2 with Boavista at the Estadio do Bessa on February 6 which saw their run of two consecutive league victories come to an end.

With 23 points from 22 games, Alvaro Pacheco's men are currently 11th in the league standings, but could leapfrog Santa Clara and move into the top half of the table with all three points on Saturday.

However, the Vizelenses will have to see off an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of the last five meetings between the teams, claiming three wins and two draws in that time.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L

Vizela Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Vizela form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Pacos de Ferreira's Fernando Fonseca reacts on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira will take to the pitch without the services of 25-year-old defender Jorge Silva, who sustained an injury in December's game against Tondela.

He is joined on the club's injury table by fellow Portuguese defender Joao Vigario, who has been out of action since last August through a severe knee problem.

Flavio is also out of contention for the Pacenses as he continues his journey to full fitness after suffering a muscle injury in November's game against Maritimo.

Meanwhile, Pacheco remains unable to call upon the services of Raphael Guzzo, who picked up an injury shortly into the game against Boavista two weeks ago.

Vizela will also have to make do with the absence of Portuguese defender Ivanildo Fernandes, who has been out of action since November through a groin injury.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Antunes, Maracas, Baixinho, Delgado; Carlos, Pires; Silva, Uilton, Santos; Denilson

Vizela possible starting lineup:
Silva; Kouao, Anderson, Aidara, Ofori; Claudemir, Samu, Mendez; Cassiano, Bondoso, Schettine


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Vizela

With just two points and two places between the sides in the Primeira Liga table, we expect a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel on Saturday. Pacos de Ferreira have struggled for form on home turf this season and we are backing the Vizelenses to hold out for a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:478436:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8704:
Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Vizela

Pacos de Ferreira
58.3%
Draw
41.7%
Vizela
0.0%
12
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Braga's Galeno celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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