Derby U23s3 - 1Chelsea U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Chelsea Under-23s |
| 42.41% | 22.63% | 34.96% |
| Both teams to score 66.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% | 34.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% | 56.27% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% | 16.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.1% | 46.89% |
| Chelsea Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% | 20.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.52% | 52.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Chelsea Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% 1-0 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.96% |
