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Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Derby U21s
1 - 5
Boro U21s

Taylor-Hart (36' pen.)
Hawkins (46'), Brailsford (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sivi (43', 49', 88'), McCabe (79'), Matthews (82')
Stott (77'), Wheaton (90+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Middlesbrough Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-6 Stoke U21s
Monday, March 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 2-3 Aston Villa U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
25.27% (-10.474 -10.47) 20.24% (-1.408 -1.41) 54.49% (11.89 11.89)
Both teams to score 68.93% (-1.506 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.59% (0.736 0.74)28.4% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.75% (0.902 0.9)49.24% (-0.894 -0.89)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-5.298 -5.3)22.73% (5.305 5.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (-8.527 -8.53)56.4% (8.535 8.54)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (3.907 3.91)10.79% (-3.9 -3.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.18% (8.057 8.06)34.81% (-8.05 -8.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 25.27%
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 54.49%
    Draw 20.24%
Derby County Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.99% (-1.501 -1.5)
1-0 @ 3.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.891 -0.89)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-1.405 -1.41)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-1.216 -1.22)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.947 -0.95)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.609 -0.61)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.811 -0.81)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.263 -0.26)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.27%
1-1 @ 8.09% (-0.489 -0.49)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.45% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.24%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.78 0.78)
1-3 @ 6.68% (1.425 1.43)
0-2 @ 6.08% (1.371 1.37)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.551 0.55)
2-3 @ 4.95% (0.357 0.36)
0-3 @ 4.51% (1.502 1.5)
1-4 @ 3.72% (1.199 1.2)
2-4 @ 2.76% (0.553 0.55)
0-4 @ 2.51% (1.068 1.07)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.69 0.69)
3-4 @ 1.36% (0.078 0.08)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.383 0.38)
0-5 @ 1.12% (0.564 0.56)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.49%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 7pm
Boro U21s
3-1
Derby U21s
Fletcher (1'), Sivi (65'), Howells (87')
Nunn (3')
Grewal-Pollard (46')
rhs 2.0
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