Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
2.19) 
-2.2) 
