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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Team News

Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
32.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 41.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.211 0.21)49.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.188 0.19)71.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.119 0.12)64.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.12299999999999 0.12)23.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.54% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.35%
    Aston Villa 41.92%
    Draw 25.72%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
13.7%
Draw
10.4%
Aston Villa
75.8%
182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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