Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
54.83% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.16% (![]() | 40.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% (![]() | 63.23% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% (![]() | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% (![]() | 31.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% (![]() | 67.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
2-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 5.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 56 |
2 | Arsenal | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 50 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 47 |
4 | Chelsea | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 41 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Bournemouth | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 37 |
9 | Fulham | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 36 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Brentford | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 31 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 27 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 27 |
16 | Everton | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 17 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 54 | -36 | 9 |
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