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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
West Ham logo

Aston Villa
4 - 1
West Ham

Luiz (30', 52' pen.), Watkins (74'), Bailey (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bowen (56')
Palmieri (54')

The Match

Match Report

Douglas Luiz scores twice as Aston Villa record a 4-1 win over West Ham United in Sunday's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Team News

Unai Emery hands a start to Nicolo Zaniolo for Aston Villa's Premier League fixture against West Ham United on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
54.83% (0.552 0.55) 22.26% (0.224 0.22) 22.91% (-0.776 -0.78)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-1.802 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16% (-1.928 -1.93)40.84% (1.928 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2 -2)63.23% (2.001 2)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.482 -0.48)14.84% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.932 -0.93)43.15% (0.932 0.93)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-1.716 -1.72)31.38% (1.717 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-2.037 -2.04)67.75% (2.038 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 54.83%
    West Ham United 22.91%
    Draw 22.25%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.619 0.62)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.83%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.398 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.91%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham

Aston Villa
55.6%
Draw
25.4%
West Ham United
19.0%
142
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Benrahma (26' pen.)
Watkins (17')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-1
West Ham

Cash (57'), Kamara (79')
Fornals (74')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
West Ham
2-1
Aston Villa
Yarmolenko (70'), Fornals (82')
Lanzini (44')
Ramsey (90')
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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