Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Despite playing out three draws in their recent five home encounters (two wins), Casa Pia are favoured to beat struggling Arouca, who have lost five of seven road fixtures this term (one win, one draw). Although the hosts have not netted more than one goal in four consecutive fixtures at Estadio Pina Manique, an opponent with four away strikes in seven matches may not trouble Os Gansos on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
35.54% ( -0) | 27.66% ( -0) | 36.79% |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% | 56.98% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% | 77.88% ( -0) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0) | 30.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.26% | 66.73% ( -0) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0) | 29.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.2% | 65.8% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Casa Pia 35.54%
Arouca 36.79%
Draw 27.66%
| Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.79% |
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca
Casa Pia
74.2%Draw
19.4%Arouca
6.5%31
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 3.30pm
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Casa Pia
0-0
Arouca
