MX23RW : Friday, January 17 13:42:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Arouca

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Arouca

Livolant (19'), Lelo (20'), Obeng (88')
Cassiano (61'), Mukendi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Trezza (63')
Sylla (18'), Weverson (58'), Simao (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca

Despite playing out three draws in their recent five home encounters (two wins), Casa Pia are favoured to beat struggling Arouca, who have lost five of seven road fixtures this term (one win, one draw). Although the hosts have not netted more than one goal in four consecutive fixtures at Estadio Pina Manique, an opponent with four away strikes in seven matches may not trouble Os Gansos on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
35.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.79%
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02%56.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12%77.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.74% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 35.54%
    Arouca 36.79%
    Draw 27.66%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Arouca
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Casa Pia
1-0
Arouca
Clayton (74')

Montero (64'), Simao (71')
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arouca
0-1
Casa Pia

Cristo (44'), Montero (82')
Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arouca
2-0
Casa Pia
Mujica (81', 90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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