MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 07:14:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Arouca

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Arouca

Livolant (19'), Lelo (20'), Obeng (88')
Cassiano (61'), Mukendi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Trezza (63')
Sylla (18'), Weverson (58'), Simao (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca

Despite playing out three draws in their recent five home encounters (two wins), Casa Pia are favoured to beat struggling Arouca, who have lost five of seven road fixtures this term (one win, one draw). Although the hosts have not netted more than one goal in four consecutive fixtures at Estadio Pina Manique, an opponent with four away strikes in seven matches may not trouble Os Gansos on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
35.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.79%
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02%56.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12%77.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.74% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 35.54%
    Arouca 36.79%
    Draw 27.66%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Arouca
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Casa Pia
1-0
Arouca
Clayton (74')

Montero (64'), Simao (71')
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arouca
0-1
Casa Pia

Cristo (44'), Montero (82')
Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arouca
2-0
Casa Pia
Mujica (81', 90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon27205273235065
2Benfica27212465224365
3Porto27175553213256
4Braga27175544232156
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2714492825346
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes27101253829942
7Casa Pia27116103436-239
8FamalicaoFamalicao2791083330337
9Estoril PraiaEstoril279993543-836
10MoreirenseMoreirense2788113339-632
11Nacional2785142637-1129
12Rio AveRio Ave2778123045-1529
13AroucaArouca2778122641-1529
14Gil Vicente2768132741-1426
15Estrela Amadora2758142141-2023
16AVS27411122141-2023
17SC FarenseFarense2738161940-2117
18BoavistaBoavista2736181746-2915


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