Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
46.91% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( -0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( 0.14) | 55.57% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( 0.12) | 76.74% ( -0.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( 0.05) | 23.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.07) | 57.8% ( -0.07) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( 0.12) | 36.29% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( 0.12) | 73.08% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |