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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga

Arouca
1 - 2
Braga

Sylla (90')
Trezza (6'), Fontan (9'), Simao (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bruma (16' pen.), El Ouazzani (55')
Zalazar (28'), Carvalho (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 31 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Braga

 There have been a combined 30 goals scored in the last nine meetings between Arouca and Braga, and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca this weekend. While Arouca have struggled for consistency in the league this season, Braga head into the weekend on a fine run of results and we are backing them to make it four away wins on the trot against the Arouquenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBraga
19.87% (0.736 0.74) 21.55% (0.23 0.23) 58.58% (-0.969 -0.97)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.491 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)63.95% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.782 0.78)34.63% (-0.787 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (0.821 0.82)71.36% (-0.825 -0.83)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (-0.285 -0.28)13.89% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.69% (-0.56 -0.56)41.31% (0.557 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 19.87%
    Braga 58.58%
    Draw 21.54%
AroucaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.1% (0.098 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.87%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.105 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.37% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.54% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.04% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.2% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.58%

How you voted: Arouca vs Braga

Arouca
5.6%
Draw
13.9%
Braga
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
0-3
Arouca

Moutinho (45+4')
Saatci (29' og.), Mujica (34', 89')
Montero (9'), Simao (46'), Santos (62')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Arouca
0-1
Braga

Simao (40'), Santos (88')
Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')
Feb 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-0
Arouca
Ruiz (1'), Banza (81')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40'), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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