MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:27:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Arouca

Esgaio (58' og.), Pinho (68')
Daniel Valente Moreira (37'), Veiga (45+4'), Kikas (65'), Keliano (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jason (4')
Dante (6'), Jason (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Arouca

With just one point separating Estrela Amadora and Arouca at the bottom end of the table, we anticipate a thrilling matchup at the Estadio Jose Gomes as they set out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawArouca
32.04% (0.274 0.27) 26.63% (0.269 0.27) 41.33% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 51.35% (-0.736 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.994 -0.99)53.48% (0.996 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.846 -0.85)75% (0.848 0.85)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)31.05% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)67.37% (0.37 0.37)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)25.52% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (-1.004 -1)60.37% (1.006 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 32.04%
    Arouca 41.33%
    Draw 26.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.33%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Arouca

Estrela Amadora
61.0%
Draw
17.1%
Arouca
22.0%
41
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Arouca
0-0
Estrela Amadora
Rocha (90')
Varela (40'), Pinho (44'), Cordeiro (90+3'), Bucca (90+6')
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Arouca
Gaspar (11')
Dida (71')
Mujica (47'), Jason (77'), Montero (80'), Bukia (90+1')
Mujica (40'), Sylla (66'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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