Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.07%).
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Nacional |
41.78% ( -0.17) | 27.92% ( -0.26) | 30.3% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 46.87% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( 1.06) | 58.87% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( 0.81) | 79.37% ( -0.81) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( 0.41) | 27.78% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.64% ( 0.52) | 63.36% ( -0.52) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( 0.9) | 35.11% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( 0.93) | 71.85% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |