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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Nacional

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Nacional

Clayton (26', 73' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Costa (34')
Soumare (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Nacional

 Rio Ave and Nacional have struggled for consistency this season and find themselves scrambling for points in the bottom half of the table heading into the midway point of the season. However, the Vilacondenses have proven tough to crack at home this season and we predict that they will come away with the desired results, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawNacional
48.86% (0.363 0.36) 25.62% (0.0019999999999989 0) 25.52% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.45% (-0.33 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)52.75% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.239 -0.24)74.38% (0.238 0.24)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)21.6% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.068000000000005 0.07)54.71% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.458 -0.46)35.64% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.475 -0.48)72.41% (0.476 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 48.86%
    Nacional 25.52%
    Draw 25.61%
Rio AveDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Nacional

Rio Ave
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Nacional
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 10.30am
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
1-1
Nacional
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Nacional
1-2
Rio Ave
Eduardo Teodora da Silva (11')
Azouni (16')
Aderlan (51'), Mane (90+4')
Augusto (84')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Rio Ave
0-0
Nacional
Tarantini (35'), Coentrao (55')
Azouni (50'), Piscitelli (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Nacional
0-1
Rio Ave

Cerqueira (48'), Goncalves (70')
Jeronimo (36')
Carlos (64'), Nadjack (90')
Nov 5, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-3
Nacional
Lopes (7'), Carlos (45' pen., 67')
Reis (60'), Coentrao (91')
Gorre (24'), Rochez (79' pen.), Witi (89')
Julio (35'), Lopes (45'), Camacho (55'), Marakis (91'), Daniel (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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