We said: Boavista 2-0 Rio Ave
Boavista and Rio Ave head into this one level on points in the bottom half of the table and we anticipate an exciting affair at the Estadio do Bessa as both sides look to get the better of each other.
While Os Axadrezados have struggled to get going on home turf, we predict that they will build on last weekend's victory over Gil Vicente and see off a Rio Ave side, who having lost all five league games on the road this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.