Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.