Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
We said: Tondela 0-2 Benfica
While Tondela will be looking to build on their win over Portimonense, next up is an opposing side who have been imperious in the history of this fixture. Benfica have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks but we are tipping them to extend their dominance against the hosts and come out victorious once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Benfica |
| 18.85% | 19.89% | 61.26% |
| Both teams to score 60.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
