Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.66% ( 0.69) | 26.96% ( -0.05) | 43.38% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0.47) | 55.6% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 0.38) | 76.76% ( -0.38) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( 0.77) | 33.85% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% ( 0.83) | 70.52% ( -0.83) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.11) | 25.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( -0.15) | 60.23% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |