Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
41.1% ( 0.07) | 27.71% ( -0.03) | 31.19% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.82% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( 0.09) | 57.84% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.44% ( 0.08) | 78.56% ( -0.07) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( 0.09) | 27.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( 0.11) | 63.21% ( -0.11) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% ( 0.02) | 33.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% ( 0.02) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |