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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Queen's Park

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Queen's Park

Shaw (14'), Murray (53'), Hendry (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gillespie (50' pen.)
Longstaff (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Kilmarnock and Queen's Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawQueen's Park
60.1%21.57%18.33%
Both teams to score 53.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02%43.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.37%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79%14.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05%41.95%
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31%37.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54%74.46%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 60.09%
    Queen's Park 18.33%
    Draw 21.56%
KilmarnockDrawQueen's Park
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.09%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.23%
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.33%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
6-0
Queen's Park
Bruce (9'), Findlay (26', 44'), Kiltie (62'), Kabamba (89'), Johnson (91')
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Kilmarnock
2-0
Queen's Park
Brophy (62'), Boyd (90' pen.)

Mortimer (55'), Gibson (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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