Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
