Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Palmerston Park
QotS0 - 3Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montrose 3-2 QotS
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Aberdeen
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Queen of the South 1-4 Aberdeen
Although both sides had disappointing campaigns, it is difficult to envisage third division Queen of the South achieving victory against top-flight Aberdeen. Additionally, the Dons strong end to the season should see them come into Saturday's clash as heavy favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Aberdeen |
15.21% ( -3.37) | 18.53% ( -1.34) | 66.25% ( 4.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0) | 35.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0) | 57.72% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -3.85) | 36.32% ( 3.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.89% ( -4.11) | 73.1% ( 4.1) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( 1.18) | 10.01% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.95% ( 2.66) | 33.05% ( -2.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Queen of the South 15.21%
Aberdeen 66.25%
Draw 18.53%
| Queen of the South | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.74) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.21% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.57)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.91)0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 1.03)1-4 @ 4.31% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 4.25% ( 0.77)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0.27)0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.43)2-5 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.25% |
How you voted: QotS vs Aberdeen
Queen of the South
14.3%Draw
4.8%Aberdeen
81.0%21
Form Guide
