Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.27% ( -0.17) | 24.22% ( 0.06) | 33.51% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( -0.24) | 42.55% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( -0.24) | 64.95% ( 0.25) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% ( -0.18) | 20.3% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.33% ( -0.29) | 52.67% ( 0.29) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% ( -0.05) | 24.78% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% ( -0.07) | 59.35% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |