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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Empoli logo

Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli


Freuler (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Empoli

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Empoli

 With Atalanta's ability to capitalise on home advantage still questionable, and their visitors having gone so long without away success, it may not be a fluent affair in front of some disgruntled Bergamaschi fans. However, the hosts' need for the points is far greater, and they can edge out Empoli due to the options available to Gasperini from the bench if the outcome remains undecided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.41% (1.415 1.42) 16.87% (-0.536 -0.54) 14.71% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 62.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63% (0.77500000000001 0.78)28.37% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.79% (0.95099999999999 0.95)49.2% (-0.949 -0.95)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.48699999999999 0.49)7.61% (-0.485 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (1.237 1.24)27.22% (-1.235 -1.24)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.524 -0.52)32.15% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.595 -0.59)68.63% (0.598 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.41%
    Empoli 14.71%
    Draw 16.87%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.187 0.19)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.157 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.17 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
84.2%
Draw
14.5%
Empoli
1.3%
76
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Luis Palomino (19')

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
Empoli
0-1
Atalanta

Pasqual (24'), Buechel (29'), El Kaddouri (70')
Gomez
Conti (24'), Masiello (39')
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Kessie (74'), D'Alessandro (94')
Kurtic (38'), Gomez (53'), D'Alessandro (95')
Mchedlidze (51')
Buchel (17'), Marilungo (22'), Diousse (82'), Skorupski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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