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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Genoa logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Genoa

Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Reggiana
Wednesday, November 1 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Genoa

Cagliari seemingly cannot defend, while Genoa rarely score away from home; yet Sunday's game could see either side throw everything at gaining another three points. Emboldened by back-to-back wins, both teams are set to find the net in an open score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
45.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 25.98% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.058 0.06)52.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.015999999999991 0.02)23.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.026000000000003 0.03)56.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.51% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.04% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.02%
    Genoa 28.99%
    Draw 25.97%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari
33.3%
Draw
45.8%
Genoa
20.8%
48
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
1-0
Cagliari
Badelj (89')
Destro (49'), Sturaro (61'), Frendrup (84')

Pedro (41'), Grassi (71')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Cagliari
2-3
Genoa
Pedro (16' pen.), Ceppitelli (56')
Ceppitelli (35'), Pedro (62')
Destro (59'), Fares (69', 78')
Biraschi (11'), Sabelli (15'), Kallon (58')
May 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cagliari
0-1
Genoa

Carboni (77')
Shomurodov (15')
Behrami (51'), Melegoni (64'), Strootman (90+4')
Behrami (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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