Serie A | Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 0SPAL
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
43.3% | 25.77% | 30.93% |
Both teams to score 53.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.66% | 50.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.72% | 72.28% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% | 23.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% | 57% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% | 30.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% | 66.39% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa 43.29%
SPAL 30.93%
Draw 25.76%
Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.93% |
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
1-1
SPAL
Mar 31, 2018 2pm
Oct 29, 2017 2pm