Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Centro Sportivo Lazio
Lazio2 - 1Hellas Verona
FT(HT: 2-1)
We said: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
While Verona have exceeded expectations so far this season, Lazio may deal out a defeat to the Scaligeri on Monday evening. The hosts have averaged two goals per game since freshening up their attack during the summer, so they can claim maximum points on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
56.09% ( 0.54) | 25.7% ( 0.2) | 18.2% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
