Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
31.21% ( -0.97) | 24.24% ( -0.35) | 44.54% ( 1.33) |
Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( 1.22) | 43.51% ( -1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% ( 1.19) | 65.9% ( -1.19) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.02) | 26.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( -0.02) | 61.87% ( 0.02) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( 1.09) | 19.7% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% ( 1.74) | 51.7% ( -1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |