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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Atalanta

Djimsiti (4' og.), Barella (10'), Thuram (47', 56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de Roon (45+1'), Retegui (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

Inter have yet to hit last term's peak - understandably at this early stage of the season - but they should still see off the threat of unpredictable Atalanta. While La Dea finished 2023-24 like a train, they have since been hit by disruption to their squad and can sometimes be caught out at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
54.47% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 23.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.5% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.28% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.102 0.1)44.76% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.099000000000004 0.1)67.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.151 0.15)33.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.165 0.16)70.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 54.47%
    Atalanta BC 22.5%
    Draw 23.02%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.5%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
82.1%
Draw
14.0%
Atalanta BC
3.8%
235
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32108267
2Juventus32106067
3Torino32105327
4Udinese32104227
5Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32015326
6Napoli32015416
7Empoli31203215
8Lazio31116514
9Parma31114404
10Genoa311134-14
11Atalanta BCAtalanta310256-13
12Fiorentina30303303
13Lecce310216-53
14AC Milan302156-12
15Monza302123-12
16Roma302112-12
17CagliariCagliari302112-12
18Bologna302125-32
19VeneziaVenezia301214-31
20Como301215-41


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