Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.