We said: Fenerbahce 0-0 Istanbul Basaksehir
Both teams have been really tough to beat this season, and despite Fenerbahce's superb attack, Basaksehir's incredible defensive record shows they are capable of keeping most teams at bay.
Basaksehir won both fixtures without conceding last season, but may be more cautious here with a huge fixture against Fiorentina on the horizon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.