As much as Germany can rue bad luck for their failure to best Israel or the Czech Republic, they have been equally punished for a lack of ruthlessness, which is hardly ideal before testing their mettle against an England side yet to concede at the tournament.
Carsley's rotated side can be forgiven for taking their foot off the gas as they seek to avoid injuries before the knockout stages, so overcoming the champions might be a bridge too far, but a closely-contested draw would keep the Young Lions undefeated while consigning Germany to only a fourth-ever group-stage exit.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.
1.31) 
-0.19) 
