Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 96.4%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for Hungary Under-21s had a probability of 0.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (10.7%) and 0-3 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.21%), while for a Hungary Under-21s win it was 2-1 (0.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.