Vorskla

2 - 1

Chornomorets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.