MX23RW : Monday, December 23 10:43:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Cerro

Arezo (19'), Sanchez (56' pen.)
Rodriguez (22'), Coelho (36'), Arezo (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (24'), Souza (51'), Cabral (54'), Magallanes (64'), Rodriguez (67'), Abero (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Cerro
Monday, March 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro
49.76% (0.175 0.18) 27.51% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.65% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (0.458 0.46)61.52% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.341 0.34)81.38% (-0.334 -0.33)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.291 0.29)24.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.398 0.4)59.61% (-0.392 -0.39)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (0.244 0.24)43.16% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (0.204 0.2)79.42% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 49.75%
    Cerro 22.73%
    Draw 27.51%
PenarolDrawCerro
1-0 @ 14.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.73%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')
Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')
Feb 15, 2020 9pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro
Xisco (10'), Trindade (90')
Gonzalez (22'), Abascal (51'), Xisco (61')
Cardozo (71')
Paiva (29')
Moreira (51'), Brasil (74')
Nov 6, 2019 7pm
Cerro
1-3
Penarol
Roldan (83')
Diaz (16'), Izquierdo (87')
Xisco (23', 60'), Rebollo (80')
Xisco (16'), Trindade (45')
Apr 20, 2019 11pm
Penarol
1-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Lema (48'), Viatri (53'), Fernandez (53'), Hernandez (63')
Tancredi (71')
Moreira (56'), Puente (87')
Moreira (62')
Sep 2, 2018 10pm
Penarol
3-2
Cerro
Rodriguez (55'), Rodriguez (87'), Viatri (88')
Viatri (13'), Freitas (58'), Busquets (75')
Viatri (89')
Acevedo (42', 63')
Torres (57'), Nunez (73'), Acevedo (87'), Zazpe (94')
Torres (77'), Porras (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!