MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:07:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Mwandwe (33'), Kenny (44'), Dugan (84')
Roberts (17'), Kenny (69'), Marriott (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Walsh (42'), Lewis (54')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
71.94% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05) 16.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 11.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)36.9% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)59.08% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.32% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)30.67% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)79.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 71.94%
    Aberystwyth Town 11.29%
    Draw 16.76%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 71.94%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.76%
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 11.29%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (76')
Ealing (7'), Walsh (60'), Davies (81')
Mwandwe (66')
Mwandwe (54'), Hughes (56'), Nash (78')
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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