Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 1Connah's Quay
Mendes (18'), Thomas (45+1'), Clarke (56')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Disney (83' pen.)
Marriott (38')
Marriott (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
18.87% ( -0.16) | 20.39% ( -0.1) | 60.74% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
