Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay1 - 1Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-2 Newtown
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
50.67% ( 0.15) | 23.4% ( -0.01) | 25.93% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( -0.12) | 43.07% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( -0.11) | 65.47% ( 0.11) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% ( 0.01) | 17.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% ( 0.02) | 47.29% ( -0.03) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( -0.18) | 30.12% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( -0.21) | 66.26% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 50.67%
Newtown AFC 25.93%
Draw 23.4%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.93% |
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-18 00:38:15
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 30 |
2 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
3 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 21 |
5 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
6 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 18 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
11 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 7 |
12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 5 |
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