MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:35:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Hughes (34' pen.)
Marriott (69'), Nash (71'), Edwards (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (61')
Mendes (15'), Sears (65'), Mooney (83')
Mooney (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
55.46% (-1.755 -1.76) 22.23% (0.44 0.44) 22.31% (1.315 1.32)
Both teams to score 57.71% (0.419 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (-0.342 -0.34)41.42% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (-0.346 -0.35)63.82% (0.348 0.35)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.675 -0.67)14.83% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-1.306 -1.31)43.14% (1.307 1.31)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (1.021 1.02)32.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (1.141 1.14)68.73% (-1.139 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.46%
    Caernarfon Town 22.31%
    Draw 22.23%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.127 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.269 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.31%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
3-1
Connah's Quay
Mendes (18'), Thomas (45+1'), Clarke (56')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
Disney (83' pen.)
Marriott (38')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
2-1
Connah's Quay
Lloyd (53'), Williams (58')
Donohue (15'), Williams (90+4')
Davies (90+6' pen.)
Roberts (65')
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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